Momentum Trader

Discrete Market Patterns

Spot recurring market setups with a pattern-recognition view built around historical behavior, daily trend context, and simple A-E movement groups.

Updated ETSep 17, 2026, 11:39 AM

How It Works

Turn market movement into readable patterns

Classify each move

Each price move is grouped into A, B, C, D, or E based on how strong the gain or loss was. A marks a large gain, C represents mostly flat movement, and E marks a large loss.

Match similar setups

Recent letter sequences are compared against historical market behavior to find moments that looked similar before the next move happened.

Summarize the next move

Shows how those similar setups resolved, including likely outcome buckets, average change, and a projected close based on the latest price.

DIA

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF

$518.22
+$3.00 (+0.58%)

SPY

SPDR S&P 500 ETF

$761.96
+$7.91 (+1.05%)

QQQ

Invesco QQQ Trust

$716.13
+$11.40 (+1.62%)

IWM

iShares Russell 2000 ETF

$287.15
+$3.23 (+1.14%)

Daily Pattern Recognition

SPY next-day setup

History starts2016-09-20

History through 2026-09-16 · Target: 2026-09-18

In progress: the pattern includes today’s regular-session quote and can change before the close.

Last successful history download: Sep 17, 2026, 12:59 AM Eastern

ALarge gain>= +1%
BSmall gain+0.15% to +1%
CFlat-0.15% to +0.15%
DSmall loss-1% to -0.15%
ELarge loss<= -1%

Recent pattern

DDDA

Last 4 daily moves.

Likely next bucket

D

Most common outcome from 5 matches. Recency breaks ties among leading buckets.

Average next change

-0.65%

Mean outcome after matching patterns.

Projected next close

$757.01

Pattern estimate, not financial advice.

Historical outcomes

5 matches
A0
0.00%
B1
20.00%
C1
20.00%
D2
40.00%
E1
20.00%

Recent matching outcomes

Newest matches first
D2025-08-25
-0.44%

Small loss

E2022-10-14
-2.28%

Large loss

D2022-07-18
-0.83%

Small loss

C2021-05-21
-0.08%

Flat

B2019-03-12
+0.38%

Small gain

Recent SPY days

A to E movement groups
A2026-09-17
+1.05%

Large gain

D2026-09-16
-0.44%

Small loss

D2026-09-15
-0.46%

Small loss

D2026-09-14
-0.45%

Small loss

B2026-09-11
+0.85%

Small gain

D2026-09-10
-0.60%

Small loss

D2026-09-09
-0.46%

Small loss

D2026-09-08
-0.55%

Small loss

D2026-09-04
-0.39%

Small loss

A2026-09-03
+1.05%

Large gain

B2026-09-02
+0.44%

Small gain

D2026-09-01
-0.69%

Small loss

Weekly Pattern Recognition

SPY next-week setup

History starts2000-01-10

History through 2026-09-16 · Target: Week of 2026-09-21

In progress: the current week uses the latest eligible regular-session price. Only completed periods count as historical outcomes.

Last successful history download: Sep 17, 2026, 12:59 AM Eastern

ALarge gain>= +2%
BSmall gain+0.5% to +2%
CFlat-0.5% to +0.5%
DSmall loss-2% to -0.5%
ELarge loss<= -2%

Recent pattern

CCDC

Last 4 weekly moves.

Likely next bucket

B

Most common outcome from 3 matches. Recency breaks ties among leading buckets.

Average next change

+0.50%

Mean outcome after matching patterns.

Projected next close

$765.78

Pattern estimate, not financial advice.

Historical outcomes

3 matches
A1
33.33%
B1
33.33%
C0
0.00%
D0
0.00%
E1
33.33%

Recent matching outcomes

Newest matches first
B2017-07-10
+1.42%

Small gain

E2016-09-05
-2.33%

Large loss

A2015-07-13
+2.41%

Large gain

Recent SPY weeks

A to E movement groups
C2026-09-14
-0.30%

Flat

D2026-09-07
-0.77%

Small loss

C2026-08-31
+0.11%

Flat

C2026-08-24
+0.47%

Flat

D2026-08-17
-1.37%

Small loss

C2026-08-10
+0.40%

Flat

A2026-08-03
+3.51%

Large gain

B2026-07-27
+1.10%

Small gain

D2026-07-20
-0.59%

Small loss

D2026-07-13
-1.54%

Small loss

B2026-07-06
+1.37%

Small gain

A2026-06-29
+2.17%

Large gain

Monthly Pattern Recognition

SPY next-month setup

History starts2000-02

History through 2026-09-16 · Target: 2026-10

In progress: the current month uses the latest eligible regular-session price. Only completed periods count as historical outcomes.

Last successful history download: Sep 17, 2026, 12:59 AM Eastern

ALarge gain>= +4%
BSmall gain+1% to +4%
CFlat-1% to +1%
DSmall loss-4% to -1%
ELarge loss<= -4%

Recent pattern

CBC

Last 3 monthly moves.

Likely next bucket

B

Most common outcome from 8 matches. Recency breaks ties among leading buckets.

Average next change

+0.86%

Mean outcome after matching patterns.

Projected next close

$768.48

Pattern estimate, not financial advice.

Historical outcomes

8 matches
A0
0.00%
B5
62.50%
C2
25.00%
D0
0.00%
E1
12.50%

Recent matching outcomes

Newest matches first
E2026-03
-5.20%

Large loss

B2018-07
+3.70%

Small gain

B2017-09
+1.51%

Small gain

B2017-07
+2.06%

Small gain

C2016-09
-0.50%

Flat

B2016-07
+3.65%

Small gain

B2006-03
+1.25%

Small gain

C2005-09
+0.38%

Flat

Recent SPY months

A to E movement groups
C2026-09
-0.66%

Flat

B2026-08
+2.68%

Small gain

C2026-07
+0.03%

Flat

D2026-06
-1.28%

Small loss

A2026-05
+5.26%

Large gain

A2026-04
+10.51%

Large gain

E2026-03
-5.20%

Large loss

C2026-02
-0.86%

Flat

B2026-01
+1.47%

Small gain

C2025-12
-0.22%

Flat

C2025-11
+0.20%

Flat

B2025-10
+2.38%

Small gain